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"Garlic, You Are Ruthless, You Play", The Price Of Agricultural Products Is Rising, And The Textile Industry Is Affected.

2010/6/11 10:43:00 29

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From the end of last year, garlic and pepper made the legend.

After November, the prices of garlic in Taiyuan, Lanzhou, Nanchang, Nanning, Hangzhou, Beijing and other cities rose to 10 yuan / kg, or even higher.

Compared with the same period in 2008, the price of dried peppers increased from 7 yuan to 40 yuan per kilogram.


The legend of garlic is not flat, and the legend of mung bean follows.

Starting from the first quarter of this year, the price of mung beans surged from 8 yuan per kilogram to 24 yuan in the past, and the prices of all kinds of beans and cereals rose.


On the other hand, the rising prices of agricultural products can not help drive up the price of cotton.

From last year's national day, cotton prices have been like a runaway horse. At present, the price of cotton in the main cotton producing areas of Shandong has exceeded 8 yuan per kilogram, reaching the highest level in history.


However, soaring cotton prices did not bring enthusiasm for cotton growers.

According to statistics, the cotton planting area of Shandong's main cotton producing area in Dezhou has dropped to the lowest level in 10 years this year. The reason is that more and more cotton farmers begin to abandon cotton and replant other cash crops under the challenge of rising grain prices, oil prices and vegetable prices.


Some people say that the price rise of agricultural products is a good thing, but the price of farmers is not high at the time of sale. At the same time, farmers will be misled by speculators. Because of information errors, farmers are likely to become long-term buyers.

In history, no matter the price of pork rises or the price of chili rises, farmers do not get long-term benefits from it.


Just like the tulips bubble in Holland, "garlic you ruthless" and "beans you play" mean inflation bubbles spread from the property market and the growth enterprise market to the agricultural products market.

Garlic and mung beans are merely an alternative response to rising prices of agricultural products, inflation expectations and rising prices of agricultural products.


The cotton price is high and the area of seed cotton is decreasing, which indicates that it is a matter of time before the textile raw materials are urgently needed.

Now the soaring cotton prices have affected the price of cotton yarn and grey cloth. In the past half a month, the domestic gray fabric market has seen a sharp rise, which is the second time since March this year.


In response, a well-known financial media commentator pointed out: "in the era of excess liquidity, inflation has different ways of expression.

The general path is as follows: the price of asset products rises, the price of agricultural products rises, and the price of raw materials increases, which eventually leads to the rise of the price of terminal industrial consumer goods.

The current price trend in China follows this pattern.

In the first half of the year, the prices of asset products rose sharply in the first half of 2009, and the annual real estate prices rose and futures prices rose. In the medium term, the price of agricultural products rose in the second half of 2009, and the price of gas and hydropower increased.

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